Baseball Rumor Mill

Virginia Tech's Austin Wates Heads Lead Off Prospects

Though power hitters always get the publicity, a handful of high on-base percentage speedsters that are likely to be first-day picks in the 2010 draft could prove to be lead off hitters professionally.

Gary Brown, Cal State Fullerton: He needs to improve his walk rate, but is incredibly fast and runs a sub-4.0 to first base. 

Tyler Holt, Florida State: As fast as Brown, but with much better discipline at the plate. 

Tyler Holt Dives Back In

Tyler Holt is speedy player with good plate discipline

Leon Landry, LSU: Another above-average runner, Landry has better power than Holt or Brown.  He's a nice, intriguing talent," said an American League scout. "He runs, and brings some punch to the plate. I like the way he plays the game, and he might fit at the top of the lineup with his patience and plate skills."

Austin Wates, Virginia Tech: Impressed scouts this summer in the Cape Cod league and is considered the best overall prospect of the group.  "If you want a bat for the top of your lineup, he might be the best guy for that job," said one scout. "He might be able to drive in runs for you, though."

 

MLB Draft Notes: Gary Brown, Austin Wates, Bryce Harper

Plenty of baseball action this past Saturday, Mar 6.  Let's take a look at the highlights from the draft prospects:

  • Jedd Gyorko continues to hit.  His numbers are up to 361/452/639 with six walks vs. four strikeouts in his first nine games.
  • Houston's Michael Goodnight out dueled Texas's Brandon Workman in a 1-0 win for the Cougars.  Despite walking four hitters, Goodnight struck out nine over 7IP and allowed just two hits.  Workman was equally as impressive, yielding just a walk, four hits and one earned run over 8IP with seven strikeouts.
  • Cal State Fullerton's Christian Colon continues to struggle going 0-for-5 against Arizona.  The shortstop is hitting 194/310/306 through the first nine games of the season.  After having a 971 OPS last year, no one expects his struggles to continue long, but the lapse allows other shortstops like Josh Rutledge to close the gap on draft boards.

Christian Colon Watches His Hit

Christian Colon needs to snap out of his funk soon

  • Alabama's Jimmy Nelson fanned eleven batters over six innings without giving up a walk.  Though considered a second-day pick heading into the season, he has a 19-1 K/BB ratio over the first 16 innings of his season and is moving up draft boards.

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Alabama's Josh Rutledge Draft Stock Rising

Josh Rutledge, a shortstop from Alabama, continues to improve as he looks to raise his stock before June's draft.  Already a potential first round pick, Rutledge went 2-for-4 against Georgia recently, raising his hitting numbers to 360/400/560.

"Physically, the skills are present for him to hit enough for the big leagues," an AL area scout said. "Ideally this year he'll prove the power - maybe even show more strength, get a little more power out of that swing. I can see him staying up the middle; I really think he stays at short, he can play there."

Josh Rutledge Photo

Will Josh Rutledge be a first round draft pick in 2010?

One hold up for Rutledge is his defense at shortstop.  Often a premiere position for defense, Rutledge's draft stock would remain high if scouts are convinced he can play shortstop professionally.

He also needs to improve on his 25-50 BB/K ratio from 2009.  So far this season, his ratio continues to be poor at 1-6.

2010 MLB Draft Prospect Update: Pitchers Feb 28-Mar 5

A review of pitching performances by notable 2010 draft prospects for February 28th through March 5th.

Kaleb Cowart: Hit 93 while striking out 11 over 6 innings on February 25th.

Matt Bywater: After a solid 10K, CG shutout to start his season, Bywater's second effort was less exciting.  5IP, 1ER, 4H, 3BB and 4K. 

Greg Peavey: Threw a CG shutout vs. Tennessee on Feb 28 giving up just three hits and one walk while striking out 9.

Greg Peavey 3

Kevin Munson: So far hasn't given up an earned run over 7 innings pitched.  Struck out four in a 2.1IP save on March 5th, his first of the season.

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2010 MLB Draft Class: Strengths and Weaknesses

Jason Churchill of espn.com recently polled a number of talent evaluators to "rank the areas of depth in this year's class, weighing the impact talents within four categories: college bats, college pitching, high school pitching, high school bats."  Here's what Churchill found out:

  • From one responder: "It's kind of even, including at the very top of the draft, but the first day may be filled with these high school arms, but I'm not sure a lot of them go early."
  • Another criticized the available hitters "it seems all of these guys have pretty major questions, aside from [Bryce] Harper, who is basically a high school kid for us. [Arkansas' Zack] Cox may or may not play third, he strikes out, and [Virginia Tech's Austin] Wates ... I'd like to get the chance to see if he can play center, he's played everywhere but there so we haven't got the look we want yet. There's no safe bet this year [in terms of college hitters]."

Zach Cox Waits For The Pitch

Can Zack Cox improve his draft stock by proving he can play third base professionally?

  • College hitters could be the weakest portion of the draft, especially if Harper is not included because he's basically a high school player at 17 years old anyway.  

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2010 MLB Draft Prospect Update: Hitters Feb 28-Mar 5

Here's a review of on-field hitting performances by notable 2010 draft prospects for February 28th through March 5th.

Tyler Holt: The outfielder from Florida State walked twice, stole his second base and scored against Hofstra on 2/28.  Holt finally struck out on 3/2, three times, but also added two hits.

Cameron Rupp: Texas' first baseman had a single and a walk vs. Stanford on 2/28 to raise his numbers to .364/.533/.455.  Cameron finally hit his first home run of the season on Tuesday.

Micah Gibbs: The LSU catcher hit a double and three singles, walked, had a RBI and stole a base in Sunday's Game 1 win over William & Mary.  Went 0-fer in Game 2.

Micah Gibbs

Micah Gibbs

Leon Landry: Gibbs' outfield teammate at LSU went 3-for-7 in the double header with five stolen bases on the day. 

Andy Wilkins: Arkansas' first baseman had two hits prompting a scout to say "I learned...this weekend [that] Wilkins can hit."  On Tuesday, Wilkins had two doubles in three at-bats, raising his batting average to .435.  On Friday, Wilkins went 2-for-4 with a homerun against Cal.

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Pepperdine's Cole Cook Continues To Impress

Pepperdine's Cole Cook had a successful outing recently against the #2 team in the country, LSU. Although Cook took the loss, dropping his record to 0-2 on the season, and yielded three earned runs, he still threw effectively.  Cook's line was very respectable 7IP, 7H, 1BB, 3ER and 9K - especially against one of the top teams in the country.

Cole has been known to struggle maintaining his velocity late into games, but his last pitch was a 92 mph fastball, not much of a dip from where he threw all day.  His fastest pitch was recorded at 94.  "Better, I'd say, and maybe that's a matter of how early in the season it was for him," an NL club's area scout said.

Cole Cook Starts Forward

Pepperdine's Cole Cook had a solid outing against #2 LSU

"He was aggressive," the scout said. "This was a nice test and he didn't back down. I had him in the low-90s for much of the game, and by my count his last fastball there (in the seventh inning) was 92. But the key for him was the split, it was very effective. And he was much better at avoid the middle of the plate, and for the most part kept the ball in the lower half of the zone."

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Concerns About Bryce Harper

Often considered the unanimous #1 pick in the 2010 draft, some scouts still express concerns about Bryce Harper's professional future.  Buster Olney of ESPN.com recently made the decision to draft Harper with the first overall pick (or even a high draft pick) to the debate many NFL scouting directors are having trying to evaluate Tim Tebow's professional prospects. 

Unlike with Stephen Strasburg last year who was the best pitching prospect, well, ever, Harper (and Tebow) present a more difficult challenge.  How do you rectify someone who has such incredible physical ability with possible major mechanical flaws?  Sure, these flaws have not manifested themselves yet in their respective competition level, but will they be able to "get away with it" at the professional level?  Right now many are saying that Harper, because of his young age, will either be able to mature out of his flaws or correct them.  Tebow is a more difficult project.

Bryce Harper Watches A Homerun

Bryce Harper hits tape measure home runs right now, but will he as a pro?

No one questions Harper's bat speed, but already the whispers are growing that he strikes out far more often than someone of his ability should at the junior college level.  Despite hitting a respectable .408 early in the season for the College of Southern Nevada, he has 17 strike outs in 71 at-bats.  Scouts are concerned with Harper's lower body when he swings and some have noted that it is a violent swing - different from Joe Mauer when he was the #1 pick back in 2001.

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2010 MLB Draft Update: Rob Brantley, Kevin Rhoderick

ESPN.com's Keith Law had a few comments and observations to pass along about some west coast, collegiate prospects.

Rob Brantly: A catcher from UC-Riverside, if Brantley can convince professional scouts that he can stay behind the plate, he has a chance to be selected in the first round.  He'll likely have to improve the lower body portion of his swing, but he has the potential to hit for power and a high average. 

Kevin Rhoderick: Retired all five batters he faced in an impressive performance.  Though his velocity was down to 90-92 from his normal range of 92-94, he demonstrated a really nice changeup with "hard fading action" that kept hitters off balance. 

Kevin Rhoderick

Kevin Rhoderick could be a solid reliever as a professional

Jordan Swagerty: Though he moonlighted as a catcher last year when he wasn't on the mound, his professional prospects appear to be best while toeing the rubber.  Throwing in relief, Swagerty was 91-94 with his fastball and 78-85 with his curveball.

Jedd Gyorko, Tyler Holt and Andy Wilkins Lead Early-Season Collegiate Performances

Though the 2010 college baseball season has only just begun, the early performances of a few players will only help their draft stock. Here's a look at some of the top performers so far:

Jedd Gyorko: He's hitting .370/.485/.741 with six extra-base hits and a 6 to 1 BB/K ratio in his first seven games.  While he's glove at shortstop is not professional quality, some team will find a place for his bat in their organization.

Tyler Holt: Sports an impressive .545 OBP through his first seven games.  Though he struck out three times in his last game, it was the first time he had struck out all season.

Andy Wilkins: So far he has hit three home runs and three doubles while walking ten times and hitting .435.  "He can hit the fastball, that's for sure," said an area scout. "But I think anyone will tell you that he's got to prove himself in the SEC to make a move (up the draft boards)."

Andy Wilkins Flips To First

Andy Wilkins hopes his early season performance will move him up draft boards

Cameron Rupp: He has reached base in 17 of his 34 plate appearances for an impressive .500 OBP, but hit just his first home run the other day and has nine strikeouts already.

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